Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent affairs. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that is what your problem is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the particular 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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